March 1, 2008

Some Tightening in Texas

Didn't want I say I told you so, but there does seem to be some tightening in Texas in daily tracking polls. These tracking polls measure groups of voters day to day to determine what may move a campaign on a daily basis. It can also measure the impact of events--speeches, ads, devel0pments, gaffes--and see what may be responsible for voter movement.

In the Reuters/CPSAN/Zogby Tracking Poll, it says:
"Democrat Hillary Clinton stemmed her losses and solidified her base in Texas, reversing a slide against rival Barack Obama." Sen. Obama has a two-point lead in this poll but the movement has to be at least some good news for the Clinton campaign.

In Ohio, it's virtually a dead heat according to Reuters/CPSAN/Zogby with Sen. Clinton up by a point, 45-44.

A second poll, the WFAA (TV station in Dallas, Texas) and Belo, a polling organization, have it Sen. Clinton by one point with the race seesawing back and forth. They say there is no way at present she can make up enough delegates in Texas to overtake him, but that may not be the point here. A win is a win and she needs one badly.

As I said yesterday, I wonder if that ad she is running about the red phone has raised a few doubts or given enough voters pause to reconsider a vote for Sen. Obama. That plus the story about whether or not Sen. Obama's position on the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was just "campaign rhetoric," as one of the campaign's senior aides told a member of the Canadian government.

We will see Tuesday evening. Meanwhile, I'll keep an eye on tracking polls for these two races.

For the Republicans, Sen. John McCain is not breaking a sweat in either state and should win handily.

Hey, if you have any ideas or opinions you want to express, please go ahead, I welcome them. The e-mail address is over on the right and you can always leave a comment.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

YOU MIGHT BE AN IDIOT:-)

If you think Barack Obama with little or no experience would be better than Hillary Clinton with 35 years experience.

You Might Be An Idiot!

If you think that Obama with no experience can fix an economy on the verge of collapse better than Hillary Clinton. Whose ;-) husband (Bill Clinton) led the greatest economic expansion, and prosperity in American history.

You Might Be An Idiot!

If you think that Obama with no experience fighting for universal health care can get it for you better than Hillary Clinton. Who anticipated this current health care crisis back in 1993, and fought a pitched battle against overwhelming odds to get universal health care for all the American people.

You Might Be An Idiot!

If you think that Obama with no experience can manage, and get us out of two wars better than Hillary Clinton. Whose ;-) husband (Bill Clinton) went to war only when he was convinced that he absolutely had to. Then completed the mission in record time against a nuclear power. AND DID NOT LOSE THE LIFE OF A SINGLE AMERICAN SOLDIER. NOT ONE!

You Might Be An Idiot!

If you think that Obama with no experience saving the environment is better than Hillary Clinton. Whose ;-) husband (Bill Clinton) left office with the greatest amount of environmental cleanup, and protections in American history.

You Might Be An Idiot!

If you think that Obama with little or no education experience is better than Hillary Clinton. Whose ;-) husband (Bill Clinton) made higher education affordable for every American. And created higher job demand and starting salary's than they had ever been before or since.

You Might Be An Idiot!

If you think that Obama with no experience will be better than Hillary Clinton who spent 8 years at the right hand of President Bill Clinton. Who is already on record as one of the greatest Presidents in American history.

You Might Be An Idiot!

If you think that you can change the way Washington works with pretty speeches from Obama, rather than with the experience, and political expertise of two master politicians ON YOUR SIDE like Hillary and Bill Clinton..

You Might Be An Idiot!

If you think all those Republicans voting for Obama in the Democratic primaries, and caucuses are doing so because they think he is a stronger Democratic candidate than Hillary Clinton. :-)

Best regards

jacksmith...

Bill Wyatt said...

Jack, I get an idea whom you are supporting.

You also may be drawing some comment on your assessment of the presidency of Bill Clinton.

I would just say that your post seems to comment more on the presidency of Bill Clinton and focus less on Hillary. It has been a very delicate balance as to how much she wants to feature him in her campaign and how much she wants to showcase him. As they say in the internet world, the mileage has varied.

I do believe the race in Texas is tightening to your candidate's advantage, at least for today.

Will there be a big surprise and bump in the road for Sen. Obama? I need to see a little more consistent data before I go along with that projection but the polls are tight and getting tighter.

As a query, would you support Sen. Obama for the presidency should Sen. Clinton not win the nomination?